Model · 2026-09-22

Claude Opus 5.5, GPT-6 Sol, GPT-6 Luna, and a new price war

Yesterday was Grok 4.7 (pelicans) and MiMo v2.6 Flash/Pro (…

Simon Willison Blog2026-09-22About 2 min readWorth tracking

Marked important, but published more than 30 days ago, so it moved down to this band.

Frontier modelsProduct strategyPricing & cost
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Record

The signal

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Yesterday was Grok 4.7 (pelicans) and MiMo v2.6 Flash/Pro (more pelicans). Today Anthropic released Claude Opus 5.5, and around an hour later OpenAI released GPT-6 Sol and GPT-6 Luna. It's going to take a while to get a good read on all of these new models, but here are my impressions so far. GPT-6 Sol and Luna are half the price of their GPT-5.6 equivalents GPT-5.6 Luna was already my favorite model for building applications against, because it combined excellent performance with being really cheap. Somehow GPT-6 Luna is half the price of that again - and GPT-6 Sol had a similar reduction compared to GPT-5.6 Sol. Here's what the pricing landscape looks like today: Model Input Cached input Output GPT-6 Luna $0.10/M $0.01/M $0.50/M GPT-5.6 Luna $0.20/M $0.02/M $1.20/M Grok 4.7 $2/M $0.50/M $6/M GPT-6 Sol $2/M $0.20/M $10/M GPT-5.6 Terra</…

Why now

Why it matters

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两家实验室在同一天把次顶档模型的单价砍到一半上下,最顶档却没动。对大多数团队,这意味着换代的成本账要重算——但决定账单的不是标价,而是缓存命中率和推理档位;而这一轮里恰好有一个把推理档开到最高、结果什么都没返回的反例。

Background

Technical context

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API 价格通常分输入、缓存输入、输出三项。智能体每轮都会重发完整上下文,所以长对话里绝大多数输入 token 命中缓存,缓存价往往比标价更决定成本。推理模型另有推理档位(effort),档位越高思考 token 越多,而思考 token 按输出计费,且受同一个输出上限约束。

At your level

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Audience

Who should care

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在为智能体或应用挑选默认模型、并负责推理预算的工程负责人维护模型路由、按任务分配不同档位模型的平台团队需要判断换代是否值得、何时值得的技术决策者
Areas it may affect
模型选型推理成本智能体运维

Next

Learning path

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  1. 先读《旗舰模型发布解读与换代判断》:把公告里的数字分成可直接比、换算后可比、基本不可比三类
  2. 把这张价格表按你的实际用量重算一遍:缓存输入占你输入 token 的多少
  3. 读本站 8 月的 Qwen3.8 默认 xhigh 实测,与这里的 Opus 5.5 max 并排看
  4. 为每个推理档位设一个输出上限,并在自己的任务上量一次平均思考长度
  5. 等 Sonnet 5.5 与 Haiku 5.5 出来后,再看低端的价格是否跟进

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Network

Where it sits in the network

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How this signal connects to neighbouring technologies, skills and background knowledge. Follow any link to keep exploring.

Comparison

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Further thought

Follow-up questions

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  • 你的输入 token 里有多少按缓存价计费?降价对你的账单实际意味着多少?
  • 你在用的推理档位,平均会想多久、会不会撞上输出上限?
  • 顶档没降价而次顶档降一半,你有多少任务其实用次顶档就够?

Publication record

Featured in

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The briefings that carried this signal, newest first; the last row is the weekly review of its week. The tag is the section it ran in.

  1. 技术简报 - 2026-09-24

    Immediate attention

Sources

Simon Willison Blog

Simon WillisonOpen-source community2026-09-22
Open original sourcehttps://simonwillison.net/2026/Sep/22/opus-and-sol-and-luna/